Tag: Commodities

  • MCX Gold Rises 0.54% to ₹1,41,066 as Brent Crude Gains and US Inflation Data Awaited

    MCX Gold Rises 0.54% to ₹1,41,066 as Brent Crude Gains and US Inflation Data Awaited

    Gold traded higher on MCX on July 14, following gains in global bullion prices as investors bought at lower levels. August gold futures rose 0.54% to ₹1,41,066. September silver futures advanced 0.64% to ₹2,19,109. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures rose 1.69% to $84.71 per barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) advanced 1.92% to $79.64 per barrel.

    According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now expect a 76% chance of a September rate hike by the Fed, up from 57% last week.

    Domestic Gold Prices
    24K gold fell by ₹11 to ₹1,42,800 per 10 grams, while 22K gold declined by ₹10 to ₹1,30,900. By city, Mumbai and Kolkata mirrored prices at ₹1,42,800, Delhi at ₹1,42,950, and Chennai at ₹1,43,460.

    US Gold Prices
    US gold rose on Tuesday after hitting a two-week low earlier in the session, as markets awaited key US inflation data amid escalating US-Iran tensions driving oil prices higher. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $4,013.93 per ounce. US gold futures for August delivery gained 0.4% at $4,020.80. Spot silver inched 0.1% lower to $57.60 per ounce, having earlier touched a two-week low. Platinum fell 0.5% to $1,597.52, and palladium rose 0.6% to $1,254.82.

    Key Levels to Watch
    “You have a situation where the markets probably don’t want to commit. They have a big batch of event risks in front of them. There’s, of course, the Warsh testimony and then the CPI print, so there’s a lot for people to look at in addition to the headlines out of the Middle East,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

    Internationally, gold price has support at $3,955–$3,910 and resistance at $4,040–$4,085 per troy ounce. Silver has support at $56–$54.40 and resistance at $59.10–$60.60 per troy ounce.

    On MCX, gold price may find support at ₹1,39,100–₹1,37,700 and resistance at ₹1,41,400–₹1,42,200. MCX silver has support at ₹2,16,000–₹2,12,400 and resistance at ₹2,20,000–₹2,22,500.

  • The Complex Web of Control Behind the World’s Gold Market

    The Complex Web of Control Behind the World’s Gold Market

    No single government, institution, or investor controls the world’s gold market. Instead, prices and supply are shaped by multiple stakeholders, including central banks, bullion banks, mining companies, commodity exchanges, and investors. Their collective actions determine how gold is traded, valued, and stored across international markets every day.

    Central Banks Hold the Biggest Influence

    Central banks are the largest owners of gold reserves worldwide. Countries such as the United States, China, Germany, Russia, Italy, and France maintain significant holdings. Their buying and selling decisions influence investor confidence, market sentiment, and long-term gold prices, making them among the market’s most influential participants.

    London and New York Set the Trading Pulse

    Most global gold trading takes place through London’s over-the-counter bullion market and New York’s COMEX futures exchange. While London dominates physical bullion transactions, COMEX drives price discovery through futures contracts. Together, these financial hubs shape daily benchmark prices followed by traders and investors across the world.

    Bullion Banks Keep the Market Moving

    Major international bullion banks connect central banks, mining companies, refiners, and institutional investors. They provide liquidity, store physical gold, facilitate trading, and manage price risks through hedging. Their operations ensure that global gold transactions remain efficient and that markets function smoothly under changing economic conditions.

    Mining Companies and Consumer Demand Matter

    Gold mining companies determine the amount of new gold entering global markets each year. Meanwhile, strong jewellery and investment demand from China and India significantly affects consumption. Supply disruptions, increased mining costs, or rising consumer demand can tighten markets and support higher gold prices over time.

    Investors Drive Short-Term Price Swings

    Institutional investors, hedge funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and retail buyers influence short-term gold prices through buying and selling activity. Economic uncertainty, inflation, geopolitical tensions, and changing interest rates often trigger increased investment in gold, reinforcing its reputation as a safe-haven asset during volatile periods.

    Gold is Controlled by Market Forces, Not One Entity

    The world’s gold market operates through a complex network rather than a single authority. Central bank reserves, trading exchanges, bullion banks, mining output, investor sentiment, and global demand work together to determine prices. Ultimately, gold remains a globally traded asset shaped by economics, finance, and geopolitical developments.

  • MCX Gold Drops 0.76% to ₹1,41,444 as Strong Dollar and Rate-Hike Expectations Weigh; Brent Crude Edges Up 0.40%

    MCX Gold Drops 0.76% to ₹1,41,444 as Strong Dollar and Rate-Hike Expectations Weigh; Brent Crude Edges Up 0.40%

    Gold prices retreated on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on July 1, pressured by a stronger US dollar, rising Treasury yields, and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement another interest rate hike in September. The precious metal’s decline reflects broader market uncertainty surrounding US monetary policy and global economic signals.

    August gold futures on MCX fell 0.76%, settling at ₹1,41,444 per 10 grams. July silver futures also slipped, declining 1.6% to ₹2,24,914 per kilogram. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures for August delivery edged up 0.40% to $73.24 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.40% to $69.78 a barrel.

    According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now assign a 67% probability to a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in September, adding downward pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.

    Domestic Gold Prices

    In the Indian market, 24K gold declined by ₹126 to ₹1,40,780 per 10 grams, while 22K gold dropped by ₹115 to ₹1,29,050. Regional variations were minimal: Mumbai and Kolkata both quoted 24K gold at ₹1,40,780, Delhi at ₹1,40,930, and Chennai at ₹1,43,990.

    US Gold Prices

    In the international market, gold prices fell for a second session, hitting a seven-month low earlier this week. Spot gold was down 0.7% at $3,979.41 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery lost 1.1% to $3,992.70. The decline was fueled by lingering inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace talks, which continue to keep Fed rate hike expectations elevated.

    Spot silver declined 1.4% to $57.75 per ounce, platinum lost 0.6% to $1,542 (hitting its lowest since last November), and palladium edged 0.4% lower to $1,199.34.

    Key Levels to Watch

    “It looks like the pressure from higher yields is what’s getting gold lower. The US dollar is also a touch higher at the same time, which kind of confirms what’s going on,” said Ilya Spivak, Head of Global Macro at Tastylive.

    Internationally, gold has support at $3,994 and $3,955 per troy ounce, with resistance at $4,074 and $4,110. Silver support stands at $57.70 and $56, while resistance is at $61.20 and $62.80.

    On MCX, gold support levels are at ₹1,41,100 and ₹1,40,000, with resistance at ₹1,43,350 and ₹1,44,200. Silver on MCX has support at ₹2,25,500 and ₹2,22,000, while resistance lies at ₹2,31,000 and ₹2,34,400.

  • Gold Drops Over 1% on MCX as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Pressure Bullion

    Gold Drops Over 1% on MCX as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Pressure Bullion

    Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell sharply on June 30, undermined by a strengthening U.S. dollar and weak global cues, as traders priced in the likelihood of multiple Federal Reserve rate hikes this year. August gold futures declined by 1.16% to settle at Rs. 1,40,757 per 10 grams, while July silver futures slipped 0.55% to Rs. 2,18,200 per kilogram.

    The pressure on precious metals extended across global markets. Spot gold dropped 1.5% to $3,956.92 per ounce, putting it on track for its steepest monthly decline since October 2008—a fall of 12.7% in June alone, marking the fourth straight monthly retreat. U.S. gold futures for August delivery lost 1.7% to $3,969.30 per ounce. Spot silver slid 2% to $57.13 per ounce, platinum eased 1.1% to $1,557.21, and palladium edged down 0.4% to $1,208.17.

    According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now anticipate three rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year, with a 64% probability of a move in September. The strong dollar and elevated interest rate expectations continue to weigh on gold, which offers no yield and competes with interest-bearing assets.

    “You have high inflation, high interest rate expectations, and a strong dollar, and that’s overriding all other bullish factors that are typically associated with a gold rally,” said Edward Meir, an analyst at Marex.

    In the domestic market, 24-karat gold fell by Rs. 180 to Rs. 1,40,130 per 10 grams, while 22-karat gold declined by Rs. 165 to Rs. 1,28,450. City-wise, Mumbai and Kolkata quoted Rs. 1,40,130, Delhi at Rs. 1,40,280, and Chennai at Rs. 1,45,080. Meanwhile, crude oil also trended lower, with Brent futures down 0.87% at $72.51 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropping 0.62% to $70.31 a barrel.

    Key Levels to Watch

    On the international front, gold has support at $3,994 and $3,955 per troy ounce, with resistance at $4,074 and $4,110. Silver support is at $57 and $55.40, while resistance stands at $60 and $61.60 per troy ounce. On MCX, gold finds support at Rs. 1,41,100 and Rs. 1,40,000, with resistance at Rs. 1,43,600 and Rs. 1,44,800. Silver has support at Rs. 2,16,600 and Rs. 2,14,000, and resistance at Rs. 2,22,400 and Rs. 2,25,000.

  • MCX Gold Slides to ₹1,40,748 as US Dollar Index Remains Firm Above 101; Fed Rate Hike Outlook Weighs

    MCX Gold Slides to ₹1,40,748 as US Dollar Index Remains Firm Above 101; Fed Rate Hike Outlook Weighs

    Gold prices traded lower on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on June 24, as the US dollar index held above the 101 mark amid growing expectations of additional monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. August gold futures declined 0.37%, settling at ₹1,40,748 per 10 grams. Meanwhile, July silver futures slipped 1.07% to ₹2,10,801.

    In the international market, Brent crude futures fell 1.68% to $72.50 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 1.46% to $69.31 a barrel. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that traders now anticipate three rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve this year, with a 67% probability of a September increase.

    Domestic Gold Prices

    In the domestic spot market, 24K gold fell by ₹278 to ₹1,40,130 per 10 grams, and 22K gold decreased by ₹255 to ₹1,28,450. City-wise rates were largely uniform: Mumbai and Kolkata quoted ₹1,40,130, Delhi ₹1,40,280, and Chennai ₹1,45,630.

    US Gold Prices

    US gold prices extended their losses on Thursday, trading near a more than seven-month low touched in the previous session. Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $3,985.89 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery eased 0.2% to $4,001.60 per ounce.

    Spot silver fell 0.2% to $57.33 per ounce, platinum lost 0.2% to $1,575.85, and palladium gained 0.3% to $1,170.25.

    Key Levels to Watch

    According to independent metals trader Tai Wong, “The market is pricing a rate hike as soon as September due to a hawkish Fed. A surging dollar and lower inflation expectations are weighing on precious metals.” Wong added that while a collapse is unlikely, gold may remain in a prolonged consolidation phase due to weak demand.

    On MCX, gold has support at ₹1,40,000 and ₹1,38,800, and resistance at ₹1,42,400 and ₹1,43,350. Silver has support at ₹2,09,100 and ₹2,05,000, with resistance at ₹2,16,600 and ₹2,21,000.