Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) declined on September 29 as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz continued to push energy costs higher, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain elevated interest rates.
October gold futures fell 0.27% to Rs 1,48,500 per 10 grams, while September silver futures dropped 0.46% to Rs 2,46,130. In the international market, Brent crude futures rose 1.80% to USD 107.2 per barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 1.75% to USD 94.22 per barrel.
Domestic Gold Prices
In India, 24K gold fell by Rs 137 to Rs 1,48,800 per 10 grams, and 22K gold declined by Rs 125 to Rs 1,36,400. City-wise, Mumbai and Kolkata reported prices of Rs 1,48,800, Delhi at Rs 1,48,950, and Chennai at Rs 1,49,080.
US Gold Prices
In the United States, gold prices edged higher on Tuesday but remained near their lowest level in over seven weeks amid concerns that the Fed could keep rates higher for longer. Spot gold rose 0.4% to USD 4,130.58 per ounce, while US gold futures fell 0.2% to USD 4,162.20. Spot silver declined 0.9% to USD 60.42, platinum slipped 1.3% to USD 1,697.71, and palladium lost 0.8% to USD 1,205.27.
Key Levels to Watch
Christopher Tahir, senior market strategist at Exness, noted: “Geopolitical developments will remain crucial for gold, as continued tensions could keep energy prices and yields elevated, while meaningful progress toward de-escalation could ease pressure. Persistent price pressures combined with resilient activity would reinforce expectations that central banks need to remain restrictive, keeping yields elevated and leaving gold vulnerable to further losses.”
On the daily chart, XAU/USD trades at USD 4,130, holding below the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day simple moving averages clustered between roughly USD 4,290 and USD 4,330, which keeps the near-term bias bearish. The Relative Strength Index (14) near 36 suggests weak momentum but not outright oversold conditions, hinting that bears retain control.
Immediate support is seen at the rising trend-line base near USD 3,990, where dip-buying interest could emerge if the current pullback extends. On the upside, the first resistance band is defined by the 100-day SMA at USD 4,292, followed closely by the 50-day SMA at USD 4,321 and the 20-day SMA at USD 4,325, forming a dense supply zone that gold would need to reclaim to ease bearish pressure.
