Gold prices retreated on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on July 1, pressured by a stronger US dollar, rising Treasury yields, and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement another interest rate hike in September. The precious metal’s decline reflects broader market uncertainty surrounding US monetary policy and global economic signals.
August gold futures on MCX fell 0.76%, settling at ₹1,41,444 per 10 grams. July silver futures also slipped, declining 1.6% to ₹2,24,914 per kilogram. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures for August delivery edged up 0.40% to $73.24 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.40% to $69.78 a barrel.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now assign a 67% probability to a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in September, adding downward pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.
Domestic Gold Prices
In the Indian market, 24K gold declined by ₹126 to ₹1,40,780 per 10 grams, while 22K gold dropped by ₹115 to ₹1,29,050. Regional variations were minimal: Mumbai and Kolkata both quoted 24K gold at ₹1,40,780, Delhi at ₹1,40,930, and Chennai at ₹1,43,990.
US Gold Prices
In the international market, gold prices fell for a second session, hitting a seven-month low earlier this week. Spot gold was down 0.7% at $3,979.41 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery lost 1.1% to $3,992.70. The decline was fueled by lingering inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace talks, which continue to keep Fed rate hike expectations elevated.
Spot silver declined 1.4% to $57.75 per ounce, platinum lost 0.6% to $1,542 (hitting its lowest since last November), and palladium edged 0.4% lower to $1,199.34.
Key Levels to Watch
“It looks like the pressure from higher yields is what’s getting gold lower. The US dollar is also a touch higher at the same time, which kind of confirms what’s going on,” said Ilya Spivak, Head of Global Macro at Tastylive.
Internationally, gold has support at $3,994 and $3,955 per troy ounce, with resistance at $4,074 and $4,110. Silver support stands at $57.70 and $56, while resistance is at $61.20 and $62.80.
On MCX, gold support levels are at ₹1,41,100 and ₹1,40,000, with resistance at ₹1,43,350 and ₹1,44,200. Silver on MCX has support at ₹2,25,500 and ₹2,22,000, while resistance lies at ₹2,31,000 and ₹2,34,400.