The Indian stock market is expected to open lower on Monday as escalating US-Iran tensions and uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz drive crude oil prices higher, renewing inflation concerns. GIFT Nifty is trading at 24,025, a discount of 198 points from its previous Nifty futures close, indicating a gap-down start.
Market Recap: Friday’s Gains
On Friday, the Sensex gained 827.57 points (1.08%) to close at 77,569.39, while the Nifty 50 advanced 244.10 points (1.02%) to finish at 24,206.90. Broader markets outperformed, with the Nifty Midcap 100 rising 1.4% and the Nifty Smallcap 100 advancing 1.5%. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth Rs 2,603.72 crore, and domestic institutional investors (DIIs) added Rs 2,019.68 crore.
Sensex Outlook
Technically, the Sensex closed above 77,500, extending its recovery and maintaining a constructive structure. The market found support near 76,100 and bounced sharply. Short-term texture remains volatile and non-directional.
Amol Athawale, VP of Technical Research at Kotak Securities, said: “An uptrend may continue. On the higher side, the market could move up to 78,000–78,300. Upside may continue, potentially lifting the market to 78,700. On the flip side, if the market falls below 77,000, it could retest 76,100. Below 76,100, the chances of hitting 75,600–75,500 would increase.”
Nifty 50 Outlook
Nifty 50 remains in a broader consolidation phase while maintaining an upward bias. The index formed a high-wave candle on the weekly chart, reflecting volatility but indicating buyers defend lower levels.
Bajaj Broking Research noted: “Broader market to extend outperformance with Nifty midcap 100 already at an all-time high. We expect Nifty small cap index also to rally to a fresh all-time high. The Index has immediate support at 23,800 levels, being almost identical lows of the last 4 weeks.”
Near-term range is 23,800–24,350. A sustained move above 24,350 could push the index toward 24,600 and then 24,800. If geopolitical tensions intensify and the index falls below 23,800, selling pressure could drag it to 23,600–23,400.
Bank Nifty Outlook
Bank Nifty rose 793.45 points (1.39%) to close at 58,045.90 on Friday. It formed a Dragonfly Doji on the weekly chart, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels. The index is expected to consolidate in the 56,500–58,700 range near term.
Bajaj Broking added: “A weakness below Wednesday’s low of 56,550 will open downside toward 55,500–55,000. On the higher side, only a move above 58,700 will signal resumption of the up-move toward 59,200 and 60,000 in the coming weeks.”
Disclaimer: Analytics Insight does not provide financial advice or guidance. This article is for informational purposes only. Readers should conduct their own research before investing.