The commodities market remained closed for the morning session on Friday due to Muharram, operating from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm. Evening trading resumed as usual from 5:00 pm to 11:30 pm/11:55 pm. Gold and silver prices continued to face downward pressure, extending a fourth consecutive weekly decline amid a stronger US dollar and expectations of higher US interest rates.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now anticipate three rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve this year, with a 64% probability of a September increase. The robust dollar and hawkish Fed outlook weighed heavily on bullion, pushing spot gold below the $4,000 mark for the first time since November 2025. Spot gold fell 0.9% to $3,991.49 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery lost 1% to $4,007.30.
Other precious metals also declined: spot silver dropped 3.2% to $56.01 per ounce, platinum lost 2.4% to $1,563.20, and palladium slid 1.6% to $1,165.93. Gold has fallen roughly 29% from its record high of $5,594.82 on January 29.
Domestic Gold Prices in India
In the domestic market, 24K gold rose by Rs. 27 to Rs. 1,41,600 per 10 grams, while 22K gold gained Rs. 25 to Rs. 1,29,800. City-wise prices were: Mumbai and Kolkata at Rs. 1,41,600, Delhi at Rs. 1,41,750, and Chennai at Rs. 1,43,340.
Key Levels to Watch
“The rapid repricing of the hawkish Fed created a strong bullish momentum in the US dollar, which eventually led to this significant downward drift in gold prices,” said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA. Renisha Chainani, Head of Research at Augmont, noted that the unwinding of yen carry trades, as USDJPY slides to a 40-year low on rising Japanese interest rates, is creating ripple-effect selling across safe-haven assets.
Chainani explained that gold has broken below its key $4,000 support and dropped toward $3,950. A sustained breakdown could open the path toward $3,600, although oversold conditions leave room for a bottom-fishing or short-covering rally toward $4,100 and $4,165. She added that silver has also broken below the $60 level and slipped to $55.50, with the next support at $50 if bearish momentum continues.
Meanwhile, Brent crude futures declined 1.77% to $73.93 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 1.86% to $70.58 per barrel.