Brent and WTI Hold Above $100
Global oil prices slipped about 1% on Friday, September 18, marking a third consecutive session of declines. Brent crude futures fell $1.01 to $103.77 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate dropped $1.03 to $100.88. Both benchmarks stayed above the $100 level after closing roughly 1% lower on Thursday.
Saudi Pipeline Disruption and Market Response
Earlier in the week, prices reached four-month highs after crude loadings at Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu Red Sea export hub were suspended. An attack on Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline damaged three pumping stations, according to satellite imagery and industry sources, and prompted Riyadh to cancel some deliveries to Europe.
Traders warned that a prolonged shutdown could remove as much as 4% of global supply. However, Saudi Arabia is now working to restore about half of the pipeline’s capacity within days and is offering additional crude cargoes to Asian refiners through ship-to-ship transfers off Oman’s Sohar port. US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said crude should begin flowing through the pipeline within days, helping to ease immediate supply fears.
Geopolitical Risks Remain
The market largely shrugged off fresh cross-border strikes between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis on Thursday. At the same time, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Navy reported that a Togo-flagged oil tanker was struck while attempting an ‘illegal passage’ through the Strait of Hormuz, adding to uncertainty in an already fragile market.
Analysts Cautious on Outlook
JPMorgan said it had no clear baseline view for oil markets for the first time since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. Peace talks between the US and Iran have not resumed since an interim agreement collapsed in June. The conflict is expected to be discussed at the UN General Assembly next week, with an Iranian delegation scheduled to attend.
What to Watch
Market attention now centers on whether Saudi Arabia can restore disrupted pipeline flows and reroute enough crude to limit the impact of the attack. Any delay in repairs or new escalation in the Middle East could quickly reverse the recent downward move in prices.




