Market Overview
On September 23, MCX gold futures traded slightly higher, with October contracts rising 0.05% to Rs.1,52,795 per 10 grams. This modest gain came as oil prices continued their decline, reducing expectations of further interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. September silver futures also advanced 0.47% to Rs.2,41,025.
Oil Price Movement
Brent crude futures fell 1.10% to USD98.16 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) edged lower by 1.67% to USD89.01 per barrel.
Domestic Gold Prices
In India, 24K gold rose by Rs.87 to Rs.1,54,200 per 10 grams, and 22K gold advanced by Rs.80 to Rs.1,41,350. By city, Mumbai and Kolkata both quoted at Rs.1,54,200, Delhi at Rs.1,54,350, and Chennai at Rs.1,54,200.
US Gold Prices
US gold prices fell on Tuesday under pressure from hawkish Federal Reserve signals, reinforcing expectations of higher rates for longer. Spot gold declined 0.32% to USD4,344.51 per ounce, while US gold futures rose 0.12% to USD4,381.55. Other precious metals also slipped: spot silver fell 0.49% to USD66.68 per ounce, platinum dipped 0.89% to USD1,819.12, and palladium declined 0.68% at USD1,303.40 per ounce.
Analst Views and Key Levels
Standard Chartered highlighted firm demand, while Goldman Sachs retained its end-2027 gold forecast at USD5,400 per ounce, noting that tighter policy may slow the rally rather than derail the longer-term trend. Goldman Sachs warned that three additional rate hikes could push gold toward USD4,070 before recovering toward USD4,200 by end-2026, supported by continued central-bank purchases.
On the daily chart, XAU/USD trades near USD4,345, hovering between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages at USD4,307.31 and USD4,313.57. Immediate upside pressure is around USD4,390, making the near-term bias neutral. Downside support is seen at the short- and medium-term SMAs near USD4,313-USD4,307, ahead of the rising trend-line base near USD3,999. A daily close above USD4,390 would be required for bulls to regain control.










