Tag: market analysis

  • Dogecoin and HYPE Lead Weekly Crypto Decline as Bitcoin Steadies Near $60K

    Dogecoin and HYPE Lead Weekly Crypto Decline as Bitcoin Steadies Near $60K

    The cryptocurrency market suffered another turbulent week, with Dogecoin and Hyperliquid’s HYPE token posting the steepest losses among major digital assets. Dogecoin dropped 9.6% to trade near $0.076, while HYPE fell 9.9%, making it the worst performer tracked over the seven-day period. Ether declined 8.4% to approximately $1,581, and XRP lost 7.8% to trade around $1.06.

    Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, fell 5.3% to roughly $60,345 on Saturday. It briefly dipped to around $58,800 on Friday before buyers stepped in to push the price back above the $60,000 support level. The recovery limited Bitcoin’s weekly decline, though the asset remains close to its long-term 200-week moving average.

    Market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted that Bitcoin approached $58,000 late Thursday and early Friday before “aggressive buying” returned. He described the price movement as similar to margin liquidations followed by buy orders placed at lower levels. However, Kuptsikevich expressed doubts about the sustainability of the recovery. “Investors should prepare for continued pressure and periodic sell-off spikes,” he warned, suggesting institutional investors may reduce crypto exposure to protect their balance sheets.

    Crypto Futures Liquidations Surpass $590 Million

    The week’s volatility triggered significant liquidation events across crypto futures markets. According to Coinglass data, approximately $217 million in futures positions were liquidated in the 24 hours ending June 27, with the weekly total exceeding $590 million. Bitcoin accounted for $71.04 million in liquidations, while Ether represented $50.61 million. Solana positions produced roughly $20.58 million in liquidations, and XRP traders lost about $2.43 million.

    Liquidations occur when trading platforms close leveraged positions after traders can no longer meet margin requirements, often amplifying short-term price swings. In this case, Bitcoin’s move below $59,000 triggered further selling before pending buy orders supported the recovery toward $60,000.

    Solana and Tron Show Relative Stability

    Among major cryptocurrencies, Solana and Tron demonstrated more stable price action. Solana traded close to $72, while Tron held near $0.32. Both tokens were roughly unchanged for the week, despite the broader market weakness. Their performance stood in contrast to memecoins and larger altcoins that faced heavier selling pressure.

    Wall Street Rotation Leaves Crypto Behind

    While crypto markets struggled, US stock markets exhibited a different pattern. Investors rotated away from semiconductor companies and directed funds toward a wider range of businesses linked to steady economic growth. The S&P 500 ended the week little changed, though the majority of companies within the index gained. The equal-weight S&P 500 even reached a record high.

    The movement indicates that investors have not fully left risk assets but have become more selective about where they allocate capital. Rather than flowing into cryptocurrencies, funds leaving chipmakers moved into other stock sectors, leaving Bitcoin and major altcoins without support from the broader market rotation.

    Multiple Pressures Weigh on Crypto

    Cryptocurrencies faced separate headwinds from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund outflows, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and dollar strength. The strong dollar reduces the appeal of alternative assets like crypto, while expectations that interest rates could remain high dampen speculative demand. Bitcoin’s position near its 200-week moving average kept traders focused on further downside risk as Dogecoin, HYPE, Ether, and XRP ended the week with deeper losses.

  • Bitcoin Faces Critical Third Quarter as Strategy’s Losses Mount and STRC Comes Under Pressure

    Bitcoin Faces Critical Third Quarter as Strategy’s Losses Mount and STRC Comes Under Pressure

    Bitcoin’s latest decline has renewed concerns over whether the market is entering a longer bear phase. The asset has fallen for two straight quarters, while Strategy’s unrealized loss and pressure on its preferred shares have added another source of risk.

    Bitcoin fell about 22% in the first quarter and 12.2% in the second quarter. A third negative quarter would mark its first run of three straight quarterly losses since 2022, when Bitcoin ended the year more than 65% lower.

    Bitcoin Enters a Critical Third Quarter

    Bitcoin recently fell below $59,000 as traders reduced exposure to risky assets. The decline has raised doubts about whether the current move is a normal pullback or part of a wider downtrend. Market observers are asking if it is still too early to call the current risk-off phase anything apart from a full-blown bear market, as quarterly losses deepen. The comparison with 2022 has gained attention since Bitcoin has not recorded three bearish quarters in a row since that cycle.

    The third quarter may now become a key test. Another quarterly loss would place Bitcoin in a pattern last seen in its worst annual decline. Nevertheless, the current drop remains smaller than the 2022 collapse, and the final outcome will depend on price movements through September.

    Selling pressure has also spread to companies linked to Bitcoin. Strategy’s common shares recently dropped below $85.50 and closed near $82 on Friday, their lowest level since February 2024.

    Strategy’s Funding Model Comes Under Pressure

    Strategy holds one of the largest corporate Bitcoin reserves, but falling prices have left the company with about $14 billion in unrealized losses. Its STRC preferred shares also carry an 11.5% annual dividend, equal to roughly $1.2 billion in yearly payments. STRC was designed to trade near $100 and provide Strategy with funds for more Bitcoin purchases. Yet the shares fell as much as 26% below that level and reached a record low. The drop has raised doubts about the company’s ability to issue more shares on favorable terms.

    CryptoQuant said Strategy should pause Bitcoin purchases and rebuild its cash holdings. The firm estimated that cash coverage for STRC dividends has fallen from more than seven years to about 14 months. When STRC trades below its intended value, new issuance becomes less attractive. Strategy has therefore paused that part of its funding process. Analyst Mark Palmer said the model has become “less efficient” rather than broken and rejected comparisons with failed crypto projects.

    Ripple CEO Questions Strategy’s Bitcoin Approach

    Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said he remains bullish on Bitcoin but criticized Strategy’s preferred-share model. In a Friday interview, he described the structure as “financial engineering” that had distracted the market from long-term utility. “Financial engineering does not drive long-term value,” Garlinghouse said. He added that a digital asset’s value should come from practical use rather than complex funding structures. Garlinghouse called STRC’s fall below its $100 target a “damning indictment” of Strategy’s approach, focusing on the company’s financing method rather than Bitcoin itself.

    Meanwhile, Arkham Intelligence said the situation does not resemble the Terra-LUNA collapse. Still, falling Strategy shares, weak STRC demand, and reduced funding capacity have raised doubts about future Bitcoin purchases.

    Bitcoin now enters the third quarter under pressure from lower prices and tighter funding conditions. A third straight quarterly loss would create a pattern not seen since the 2022 bear market.

  • Bitcoin Drops Below $60K as $700M in Long Liquidations Rock the Crypto Market

    Bitcoin Drops Below $60K as $700M in Long Liquidations Rock the Crypto Market

    Bitcoin tumbled below the $60,000 mark on June 24, triggering a cascade of liquidations that erased over $700 million in long positions. The sharp sell-off intensified market fear and wiped out speculative bets that had attempted to buy the dip.

    Liquidations Deepen Pressure Across Crypto Markets

    The forced exit of leveraged traders weighed heavily on Bitcoin as it weakened below the psychologically important $60,000 level. Further declines appeared likely as selling pressure continued to ripple through the broader cryptocurrency market. According to AMBCrypto, Bitcoin open interest had already fallen from its 2025 highs, yet volatility remained elevated as traders scrambled to adjust to rapid price swings.

    At the same time, sustained outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reflected weakening investor confidence. The Coinbase Premium Index turned negative for more than a month, signaling limited demand from U.S. investors. Consequently, spot buying provided little support as Bitcoin extended its slide.

    Demand and Miner Flows Add to Supply Concerns

    Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin’s apparent demand has remained negative for 208 consecutive days. This metric tracks whether spot demand can absorb newly mined supply and older coins moving onto exchanges. Analyst Axel Adler Jr. added that net realized profit and loss has stayed negative for five months when measured using a 90-day moving average.

    Such prolonged realized losses mirror conditions seen during previous bear markets, particularly in mid-2022. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA observed that the foundation for the latest losses began forming in February. Bitcoin’s Miner Position Index rose between March and June.

    Although the index stood at minus 0.15—still negative—it indicated that miners were transferring relatively more Bitcoin toward cryptocurrency exchanges. Miner-to-exchange flows also increased during the same period. Together, these metrics suggest miners have been preparing more Bitcoin for potential selling.

    Bitcoin’s realized price now sits at $53,888, representing the market’s average acquisition cost. This level is widely viewed as the next major support zone and a likely price target. The key question remains whether buyers can absorb the rising supply before Bitcoin retests its realized price.

    Grantham Renews Long-Running Bitcoin Criticism

    GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham reiterated his criticism of Bitcoin during an appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Friday. He described it as a speculative asset with no intrinsic value and predicted that Bitcoin would gradually lose relevance over several decades. Grantham questioned its practical purpose and performance during a broader bull market.

    He argued that Bitcoin has failed to provide a stable store of value, citing its latest price decline despite strength in the wider economy. Grantham contrasted it with gold, which he said has still delivered solid gains even after retreating from its previous highs. He also noted that consumers rarely use Bitcoin for everyday purchases or major commercial transactions, and linked its use to illegal money transfers.

    Bitcoin has declined by at least 70% from its peak during every previous market cycle. It currently trades about 52% below its October high and remains under $60,000.

    Conclusion

    Bitcoin’s fall below $60,000 sparked $700 million in long liquidations as weak spot demand, ETF outflows, and rising miner transfers intensified selling pressure. With the realized price near $53,888 emerging as key support, traders should closely monitor demand and exchange flows before making market decisions.

  • Bitcoin ETF Assets Drop Below $73 Billion as BTC Falls Under $60,000 – June Outflows Hit $3.61 Billion

    Bitcoin ETF Assets Drop Below $73 Billion as BTC Falls Under $60,000 – June Outflows Hit $3.61 Billion

    US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded $696.3 million in net outflows on June 25 as Bitcoin slipped below the $60,000 mark. This marked the largest single-day withdrawal in June and extended the funds’ losing streak to six consecutive trading days.

    The latest outflow pushed June total withdrawals to $3.61 billion and brought year-to-date net outflows to approximately $4.6 billion. The data signals weakening demand from institutional investors as Bitcoin trades near its lowest level of 2026.

    ETF activity has become a key focus for market participants. These products previously provided steady buying pressure, but persistent redemptions are now returning coins to the market while investors reassess risk across cryptocurrencies and high-growth tech assets globally.

    Bitcoin ETF Withdrawals Accelerate in June

    The June 25 outflow surpassed the previous monthly high of $519.2 million recorded on June 2. Second-quarter net withdrawals now stand at roughly $4.07 billion, despite the funds attracting nearly $1.97 billion in April.

    Investors withdrew about $2.43 billion in May and another $3.61 billion in June, bringing the combined two-month total to approximately $6.04 billion. Spot Ether ETFs also posted about $81.87 million in outflows on the same day.

    BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust led second-quarter losses with roughly $2.01 billion in net outflows. The fund saw around $4.02 billion in withdrawals across May and June, reducing its net assets to about $44.43 billion. Fidelity’s Bitcoin fund recorded approximately $889 million in second-quarter withdrawals.

    ETF Assets Fall as Bitcoin Tests Lower Prices

    Total assets held by US spot Bitcoin ETFs dropped to about $72.6 billion, the lowest level since late 2024 and a decline of nearly 57% from the October 2025 peak of $169.5 billion.

    The drop coincided with Bitcoin losing roughly half its value from its October high. The cryptocurrency touched a 2026 low near $58,190 on Thursday before recovering toward $60,000.

    Separate wallet data shows the ETFs hold about 1.24 million BTC, with roughly 63,500 BTC leaving the products over the past 30 days. This has raised fresh questions about short-term institutional demand. Traders are watching whether daily ETF withdrawals slow near the $60,000 level and monitoring trading volume, derivatives funding rates, and open interest for signs of additional selling pressure.

    Strategy Slows Purchases as Funding Questions Grow

    Strategy bought about 3,600 BTC in June, down sharply from nearly 25,000 BTC in May and more than 50,000 BTC in April. Company filings also showed a net sale of 32 BTC earlier in the month, an unusual move during its long accumulation campaign.

    The company’s STRC preferred stock closed at $75.69 on Thursday, down 6.37% and well below its intended $100 benchmark. Some analysts have questioned whether Strategy should pause Bitcoin purchases and rebuild cash while market prices remain under pressure.

    CryptoQuant analysts expressed doubts about the company’s buying schedule and risk controls. Bitcoin supporter Samson Mow offered a different perspective, noting that STRC has a “self-repairing mechanism” when it trades below $100. He said Strategy can stop issuing new shares through its at-the-market program, which limits added supply.

    Bitcoin’s near-term direction may depend on whether ETF flows stabilize. Investors are also watching large technology shares, as stronger demand for artificial intelligence stocks has drawn capital away from other assets.

  • Bitcoin Holds Near $61,487 as Record ETF Outflows, Dollar Strength Weigh on Crypto Markets

    Bitcoin Holds Near $61,487 as Record ETF Outflows, Dollar Strength Weigh on Crypto Markets

    Market Overview

    Bitcoin is trading at $61,487 as six straight weeks of spot ETF outflows drain institutional capital, pushing the Fear and Greed Index to 24 in Extreme Fear territory. Dogecoin is down 3.81% in 24 hours and 10.48% on the week, leading losses among the top ten, while XRP and Hyperliquid follow with notable declines. Traders are monitoring the $60,000 support floor closely, with a confirmed break risking a slide toward $55,000 amid sustained macro pressure from the Fed and the Dollar Index.

    Bitcoin Price Today

    Bitcoin is holding near $61,487, showing a modest 24-hour gain of 1.87% off session lows. The token is recovering cautiously after testing the $59,000 region earlier in the week. Support sits at $60,000, a level traders are treating as the cycle’s last credible floor. A firm break below opens the path toward $55,000. Resistance is stacked at $63,000, then $64,400 to $65,000, where the 21-day EMA has been rejecting rallies.

    Giving the market overview, Akshat Siddhant, Lead Quant Analyst at Mudrex, stated: “Bitcoin hit a multi-year low of $59,000 as risk-off sentiment continued to dominate global markets. The Dollar Index stands at a 13-month high, indicating growing confidence in the US economy. Typically, BTC and the dollar have shown an inverse correlation, adding to the selling pressure. For now, investors are closely watching key US macroeconomic data, including the PCE inflation report, GDP figures, and jobless claims, which could play a major role in determining Bitcoin’s next directional move.”

    Meanwhile, Piyush Walke, Derivatives Research Analyst at Delta Exchange, noted: “Bitcoin plunged below the key $60,000 support level, falling to around $59,068 amid a sharp market sell-off. The decline was fueled by investor concerns over financing risks at Strategy Inc., a broader shift of retail capital toward AI-related stocks, persistent inflation, and expectations of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve.” He added, “The $59,000 level now serves as a crucial support zone, having been tested multiple times in the past. A break below $59,000 could trigger a deeper correction toward the $52,000 region. On the upside, immediate resistance is located between $64,400 and $65,000, which also coincides with the 21-day EMA rejection zone.”

    According to the WazirX Market Desk: “Bitcoin is trading near $60.6K, while Ethereum is around $1,620, with both assets moving in a narrow range as broader market sentiment remains cautious. Despite the consolidation, institutional participation, ETF interest, and long-term adoption continue to provide support for the crypto market.” The desk also noted Jupiter (JUP) gained over 6% after renewed attention on its Litterbox buyback program, while Hyperliquid recovered after recent volatility, supported by continued whale accumulation.

    The CoinSwitch Markets Desk added: “BTC dipped to $59K before buyers stepped in to take it to $61K. The slide below $60K reflects current market conditions of spot BTC ETF outflows, the Fed’s hawkish stance, and a strengthening US dollar. On the chart, liquidity at $61,800 to $62,000 acts as a magnet. If momentum holds, price could be drawn there as shorts get squeezed, though that same cluster may cap the bounce as resistance. Should support fail, $55K remains a plausible cycle low.”

    Crypto Prices Today: Top 10 Coins at a Glance

    Biggest Gainers: Bitcoin, BNB, Ethereum

    Bitcoin leads the session with a 1.87% recovery, bouncing off the week’s lows as some short positions get squeezed. BNB adds 1.46%, benefiting from steady on-chain activity on the BNB Chain network. Ethereum follows at 1.30%, holding above $1,644 as traders watch for a decisive reclaim of the $1,700 zone.

    Biggest Losers: Dogecoin, Hyperliquid, XRP

    Dogecoin leads today’s declines with a 3.81% drop, extending a painful weekly loss of 10.48% as risk appetite stays compressed. Hyperliquid follows with a 3.67% slide, giving back recent gains as derivatives volumes pull back. XRP slips 1.81% on a 24-hour basis but holds a steep 7.16% weekly loss, with the CLARITY Act’s uncertain Senate timeline keeping buyers cautious.

    Crypto News Today Driving Market Sentiments

    Bitcoin ETF Outflows Extend to Six Consecutive Weeks, Totaling $5.94 Billion

    US spot Bitcoin ETFs have now posted outflows across six straight weeks, the longest redemption streak in the funds’ history. Galaxy Research data puts total withdrawals at $5.94 billion over that span, with June 23 seeing a rare $39.2 million inflow that offered brief relief. BlackRock’s IBIT has led redemptions in several sessions, signaling that even the dominant ETF product is not immune. Year-to-date net inflows have slipped to $55.79 billion from $58.09 billion in April.

    Binance Faces MiCA License Collapse as June 30 Deadline Closes In

    Binance is racing against the clock after its bid to secure a critical passporting license in Greece unraveled, leaving its European operations without a compliant path forward. Gillian Lynch, Binance’s head of Europe and the UK, confirmed the firm is actively exploring alternative licensing pathways and is not planning to exit the EU. The European Securities and Markets Authority has warned all unlicensed crypto firms to begin winding down EU activities immediately. Binance now has days to find a replacement license before June 30, after which the platform would be required to halt services for millions of European users.

    CLARITY Act Awaits Senate Floor Vote as White House Targets July 4 Deadline

    The CLARITY Act remains on the Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders, eligible for a full floor vote but still facing a 60-vote threshold. The White House is pushing hard for a July 4 signing, but Catholic leaders and advocacy groups have filed formal opposition letters to Senate leadership. A 15-9 Senate Banking Committee vote in May cleared the bill out of committee, with two Democrats joining all Republicans. Passage would classify most digital assets as commodities under CFTC oversight, removing years of regulatory ambiguity for XRP, Solana, and other major tokens.

    Dollar Index Reaches 13-Month High, Squeezing Bitcoin

    The US Dollar Index has climbed to a 13-month high, maintaining its inverse pressure on Bitcoin and risk assets broadly. Markets are now pricing a 68.8% probability of zero Fed rate cuts in all of 2026. Inflation came in at 3.8% year-over-year in April, the hottest reading since May 2023. The Fed held rates steady at its June 16-17 meeting, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh eliminating forward guidance, adding another layer of uncertainty to rate expectations.

    Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale and Whale Exits Add to Selling Pressure

    Strategy disclosed its first Bitcoin sale in nearly four years, offloading 32 BTC at approximately $77,135 per coin. The transaction raised roughly $2.5 million and shook sentiment far beyond its modest size. On-chain data shows whales holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC sold approximately 25,000 BTC over the past week. The combined signal from corporate and whale exits has reinforced the market’s cautious tone heading into the weekend.

    Investor and Market Outlook

    Bitcoin is attempting a tentative recovery near $61,487, but the broader picture remains fragile. Six weeks of institutional outflows, a 13-month-high Dollar Index, and a hawkish Fed have kept the Fear and Greed Index anchored at 24. Liquidity is rotating away from crypto and toward AI stocks and the SpaceX IPO. That competition for speculative capital is a structural headwind that technical signals alone cannot overcome.

    The $60,000 level remains the market’s key test. Corporate buyers are still present, with Strategy and Strive adding Bitcoin at average prices near $65,850, offering a structural counterweight to the dominant redemption narrative. A confirmed hold above $60,000 keeps the path open toward $63,000 and the $64,400 to $65,000 EMA cluster. Traders should track PCE inflation data, jobless claims, and any Senate movement on the CLARITY Act as the week’s remaining catalysts.

    FAQs

    What is the Bitcoin price today?

    Bitcoin is trading near $61,487 today, up 1.87% in the past 24 hours. Support sits at $60,000, with a deeper floor near $55,000 if that level fails. Resistance holds at $63,000, then $64,400 to $65,000.

    Why is Bitcoin under pressure this week?

    Bitcoin is under pressure from six straight weeks of spot ETF outflows, a 13-month-high Dollar Index, and a hawkish Fed that has pushed zero-rate-cut odds to 68.8% for all of 2026. Strategy’s first Bitcoin sale in four years also rattled sentiment.

    What is the biggest crypto news today?

    The CLARITY Act awaits a Senate floor vote, Binance’s collapsing MiCA license with a June 30 deadline, and Bitcoin’s record ETF outflow streak are the top stories driving market sentiment today.

    Which coins are falling the most today?

    Dogecoin leads losses at -3.81%, followed by Hyperliquid at -3.67%. On a weekly basis, Dogecoin is down 10.48% and XRP has shed 7.16%, making both the standout underperformers of the cycle.

    What should crypto investors watch this week?

    Track the US Dollar Index for further breakout signals, the Senate’s CLARITY Act vote, and the Binance MiCA situation ahead of the July 1 EU deadline. PCE inflation data and jobless claims are the key macro prints that could shift Fed expectations and risk appetite.

  • Bitcoin Drops to $59,700 as June Sell-Off Intensifies Amid Heavy Market Pressure

    Bitcoin Drops to $59,700 as June Sell-Off Intensifies Amid Heavy Market Pressure

    Bitcoin has entered the last week of June 2026 under strong selling pressure, trading near $59,700 on June 26. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has lost more than 12% during June alone, while the total decline from its earlier cycle peak above $126,000 has now crossed nearly 50%.

    Current Market Situation

    At the time of analysis, Bitcoin remains close to $59,700 against the US Dollar, with intraday movement between $58,500 and $60,000. Some exchanges report a decline of more than 20% over the last 30 days. Bitcoin’s market value still stands at nearly $1.15 trillion, but traders remain uncertain about short-term recovery.

    Federal Reserve Creates Market Pressure

    A major reason behind Bitcoin’s weakness is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate stance, currently at 3.50%–3.75%. Higher rates push investors toward safer assets like bonds, reducing appetite for volatile assets such as Bitcoin. Inflation concerns have eased, removing part of Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge against currency weakness.

    Large Liquidations Increase Fear

    More than $1 billion worth of crypto positions were liquidated after Bitcoin dropped near the $59,000 zone. Leveraged traders faced forced selling, triggering a chain reaction of automatic sell orders that pushed prices lower.

    Institutional Money Continues to Exit

    Spot Bitcoin ETFs have reportedly seen nearly $6 billion in outflows in 2026. Institutional demand, which previously provided strong support during corrections, has weakened significantly this year.

    Technical Chart Looks Weak

    Key support sits near $58,000–$57,500. A break below that zone could push Bitcoin toward $55,000 or even $52,000–$54,000. On the upside, resistance is at $62,000 and $65,000. The 200-day moving average points downward, and the daily RSI is near oversold levels.

    Massive Options Expiry Creates Volatility

    A $10.6 billion Bitcoin options expiry on June 26 adds further uncertainty. Nearly 80% of June bullish options are now out of the money, likely causing sudden price swings as traders adjust positions.

    Short-Term Price Outlook

    If support between $58,000 and $59,000 holds, a short recovery toward $62,000 is possible. However, a drop below $57,500 could trigger a sharp decline to the $52,000–$54,000 zone.

    Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are risky assets; you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

  • Strategy’s Bitcoin Treasury Turns Underwater as BTC Drops Below $75,651 Cost Basis

    Strategy’s Bitcoin Treasury Turns Underwater as BTC Drops Below $75,651 Cost Basis

    Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has entered a critical phase after Bitcoin fell below the company’s average purchase price. The stock has dropped 78% from its cycle peak, while Bitcoin has declined 51%, according to data cited in a report by AxelAdlerJr. At the same time, Strategy has slowed Bitcoin accumulation and increased cash reserves, marking a notable shift in its treasury approach.

    The report said Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury now sits underwater for the first time since the 2022 bear market. The company holds 847,363 BTC at an average purchase price of $75,651, representing a total cost of $64.1 billion. Bitcoin’s move below that level has increased attention on Strategy’s financing model and future buying activity.

    MSTR Falls Faster Than Bitcoin

    Since launching its Bitcoin treasury strategy in 2020, MSTR has generally acted as a leveraged version of Bitcoin. The stock often outperformed Bitcoin during rallies but suffered larger losses during downturns. After the peak of the 2024-2025 cycle, both Bitcoin and MSTR moved lower, yet MSTR declined much faster than the underlying asset. The stock has now fallen 78% from its peak, compared to Bitcoin’s 51% decline from its cycle high. Although severe, the decline still remains above the 2022 bear market bottom when MSTR recorded an 89% drawdown while Bitcoin fell 77%.

    The report also pointed to March 2020 as a contrasting period. During the pandemic-driven market crash, Bitcoin dropped about 75%, while MSTR lost roughly 58%. At that time, the company had not yet adopted its Bitcoin treasury strategy.

    Cost Basis Becomes a Key Level

    Strategy’s average Bitcoin purchase price of $75,651 is a critical threshold. While an underwater position does not automatically force sales, it can affect corporate behavior and capital allocation. As Bitcoin trades below that level, pressure increases on Strategy’s ability to raise capital through its existing model. The report said a shrinking premium between MSTR shares and the company’s Bitcoin holdings reduces the effectiveness of aggressive stock issuance programs. Maintaining Bitcoin below the treasury cost basis could place additional strain on the company’s funding structure and future accumulation plans.

    Buying Activity Slows as Cash Reserves Grow

    The report described a broader shift in Strategy’s operating approach. Weekly Bitcoin purchases have fallen by roughly two-thirds compared with previous periods. Recent capital raises also show a different allocation pattern. Of the $335.5 million generated through stock sales, less than 11% went toward Bitcoin purchases. The remaining funds went into a dollar reserve. As of June 21, that reserve stood at $1.4 billion. The move is characterized as a transition from aggressive accumulation toward a more defensive posture.

    Meanwhile, Strategy recorded its first net Bitcoin sale since 2022. In late May, the company sold 32 BTC to cover dividend payments linked to STRC. The report also tracked the performance gap between MSTR and Bitcoin. That spread currently stands near 28 percentage points, meaning the stock has fallen substantially more than the asset it tracks. Historical data shows the spread has returned toward the upper end of its long-term range, reflecting continued pressure on the Bitcoin proxy stock.

    What’s Next?

    Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury has moved underwater after BTC fell below the company’s average cost basis of $75,651. Meanwhile, MSTR has dropped 78% from its peak and now trails Bitcoin by a wide margin. At the same time, Strategy has reduced Bitcoin purchases, increased cash reserves, and shifted toward a more defensive treasury approach as investors monitor the key $75,651 level.

  • Dogecoin Trading Volume Surges 116% as Price Holds Near Critical Support Level

    Dogecoin Trading Volume Surges 116% as Price Holds Near Critical Support Level

    Dogecoin has drawn renewed attention after trading activity rose sharply while its price remained near local lows. Major exchanges recorded a more than 116% jump in DOGE volume over the previous day. The coin still trades below key moving averages and remains in a clear downtrend.

    As of June 25, 2026, DOGE is trading near $0.076 (approximately Rs. 7.15 to Rs. 7.50), down nearly 11% over the past seven days. Despite this decline, daily trading volume has stayed high at roughly $900 million to $950 million. Dogecoin’s market capitalization stands near $11.7 billion, keeping it among the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap. However, price action remains weak, and the asset struggles to recover after losing a key support level.

    The sharp volume increase is significant because active markets often signal stronger participation. Traders are watching not just the price but also whether sellers continue to dominate or if buyers begin to absorb supply.

    Key Support and Resistance Levels

    The most important price band now sits between $0.075 and $0.085. Traders view this zone as DOGE’s main support area. The 200-day moving average also sits near $0.0859, adding weight to that level. DOGE has stayed below major moving averages for some time, keeping the broader trend negative. Buyers have not yet forced a sustained recovery, and sellers still control short-term momentum.

    If DOGE loses the support zone, analysts see further downside ahead. The first lower target is near $0.070, and if selling pressure deepens, the next area of interest lies around $0.065.

    Long Positions Still Dominate

    Despite weak price action, long-to-short ratios remain tilted toward bullish bets across major exchanges. OKX shows an even stronger long bias, while Binance traders keep the ratio above 2. This setup creates risk if support breaks, as crowded long positions can fuel liquidations during a sharp move lower. However, the same positioning can also support a strong rebound if the price stabilizes near resistance.

    For now, $0.085 remains the first major hurdle for bulls. A break above that level could improve sentiment and attract more speculative demand. Until then, Dogecoin continues to trade under pressure while volume stays elevated.

    What’s Next?

    Despite the recent decline, trading volume surged more than 116%, showing renewed market participation. With bullish long-to-short ratios still dominant, traders are closely watching whether DOGE stabilizes for a recovery or faces further downside toward lower support levels.