Gold futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) traded lower on Tuesday, July 7, as investors awaited the release of the US Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting minutes for further clues on the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory. The August gold contract declined by 0.63% to settle at Rs. 1,45,990 per 10 grams.
In the precious metals complex, September silver futures also witnessed a decline, falling 1.23% to Rs. 2,33,201 per kilogram. Meanwhile, in the energy market, Brent crude futures edged up 0.60% to $72.42 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude advanced 0.51% to $68.90 a barrel.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, market participants now see a 56% probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s September meeting, down from the previous week’s reading of 60%.
Domestic Gold Prices
In the local physical market, 24-karat gold fell by Rs. 136 to Rs. 1,45,260 per 10 grams, while 22-karat gold declined by Rs. 125 to Rs. 1,33,150. Regional variations were observed: Mumbai and Kolkata quoted 24K gold at Rs. 1,45,260, Delhi at Rs. 1,45,410, and Chennai at Rs. 1,47,920.
US Gold Prices
US gold prices eased on Tuesday, trading below a two-week high, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Fed minutes. Spot gold fell 0.6% to $4,138.32 per ounce, and US gold futures for August delivery dipped 0.4% to $4,149.90.
Among other precious metals, spot silver slipped 1% to $61.48 per ounce, platinum eased 0.1% to $1,629.46, while palladium posted a modest gain of 0.4% to $1,272.85.
Key Levels to Watch
“Gold price action looks like a continuation of last week’s basing, forming a support level. The market is clearly waiting for direction from the Fed minutes to get a better sense of the Fed’s thinking on short-term interest rate policy,” said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.
Internationally, gold has support at $4,135 and $4,100 per troy ounce, with resistance at $4,194 and $4,220. Silver support stands at $61.20 and $59.80, while resistance is seen at $63.40 and $64.20. On MCX, gold support is at Rs. 1,46,100 and Rs. 1,45,500, resistance at Rs. 1,47,400 and Rs. 1,48,200. For silver MCX, support is at Rs. 2,33,300 and Rs. 2,30,000, with resistance at Rs. 2,38,800 and Rs. 2,41,000.
Investors remain focused on the Fed minutes release scheduled later this week, which could provide clearer signals on the timing and pace of potential rate adjustments.
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