Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) traded lower on July 15, despite a slowdown in U.S. inflation that reduced expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes and weakened the U.S. dollar. August gold futures declined 0.46%, settling at Rs. 1,41,600 per 10 grams. Meanwhile, September silver futures slipped 0.31% to Rs. 2,22,499 per kilogram.
In the energy markets, Brent crude futures jumped 1.20% to $85.75 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) advanced 0.92% to $80.07 per barrel. The rise in crude oil prices reignited inflation concerns, putting pressure on precious metals.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now see a 58% chance of a September rate hike by the Fed, down from 78% earlier, reflecting the market’s shifting outlook on monetary policy.
Domestic Gold Prices
In the Indian domestic market, 24K gold rose by Rs. 77 to Rs. 1,43,570 per 10 grams, while 22K gold advanced by Rs. 70 to Rs. 1,31,600. By city, Mumbai and Kolkata quoted gold at Rs. 1,43,570, Delhi at Rs. 1,43,720, and Chennai at Rs. 1,43,780.
U.S. Gold Prices
U.S. gold prices fell on Wednesday after climbing more than 2% in the previous session, as rising oil prices fueled inflation concerns and uncertainty. Spot gold was down 0.5% at $4,035.67 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures for August delivery eased 0.7% to $4,042.20.
Spot silver lost 0.3% to $58.48 per ounce. Among other precious metals, platinum gained 0.2% to $1,635.56, and palladium edged 0.2% higher to $1,307.11.
Key Levels to Watch
Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, commented: “I reckon that the market is now looking past the CPI data, which is kind of a lagging indication… Trump continues to maintain the blockade of ships that is flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to rise and gold to come under pressure.”
Internationally, gold has support at $4,022 and $3,989, while resistance is at $4,110 and $4,140 per troy ounce. Silver has support at $57.40 and $56, with resistance at $60.60 and $62.00 per troy ounce.
On MCX, gold has support at Rs. 1,41,400 and Rs. 1,40,650, and resistance at Rs. 1,43,350 and Rs. 1,44,500. Silver has support at Rs. 2,20,000 and Rs. 2,17,700, and resistance at Rs. 2,26,000 and Rs. 2,28,800.
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